Feb. 18, 2026

He called two property crashes: Is 2026 really next?

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An expert who correctly predicted the 2008 financial crisis says UK property prices will crash in late 2026. Fred Harrison, the economist who pioneered the 18-year property cycle theory, is doubling down on his prediction – and his track record means we can’t ignore it.

Rob & Rob examine Harrison's latest forecast, unpacking what that could mean for investors right now, pressure‑testing the call against today’s market and asking what would need to happen for it to play out. 

  • (04:44) What is the 18-year property cycle?
  • (08:50) Could the cycle be broken?
  • (10:25) Conditions from the previous crash compared to today
  • (13:32) What mortgage lending standards reveal about crash conditions
  • (15:26) The silent property crash that’s already happened
  • (19:05) The weakest part of the theory
  • (24:00) Hub Extra 

Links mentioned: 

  • BBC News article - Could Manchester be a model for the UK to kickstart growth? Read here
  • Drowsy Sleep Mask: Get here 


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